A post submitted by CGI member Morgan.

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By Ben Johnson | Feb 26, 2025

The West’s growing epidemic of childlessness and depopulation will “fundamentally alter our societies” and impose “an existential economic crisis” on the United States that will cost the U.S. alone “quadrillions of dollars,” according to two new reports.

Despite decades of warnings about overpopulation, the United States and Europe have long had fertility rates below the replacement level of 2.1 children per family. The global population bust will lead to nations with lower GDP, higher welfare spending, fewer workers, less economic power — and, possibly, a shift away from a global order led by the once-Christian West to one overwhelmed by a growing Muslim population.

“If we are unable to address our fertility crisis, the U.S. will face an existential economic crisis driven by a steep decline in fertility rates — one that could have an impact measured in the quadrillions of dollars,” wrote Jesús Fernández-Villaverde in The American Enterprise, the monthly publication of the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). “[Y]es, tackling fertility has an impact measured in discounted terms of quadrillions of dollars, not just small change like a miserly trillion dollars here or there.”

“Seems bad,” quipped Brad Wilcox, professor of sociology at the University of Virginia and a fellow at the Institute for Family Studies (IFS).

If anything, the economic concerns minimize the full extent of the social revolution soon to be ushered in through low fertility, say experts in Europe.

The world’s impending underpopulation “should be treated as a primary political issue: We will be witnessing the reshaping of our region’s social, economic, and political landscape, impacting social structure, infrastructure, labour force, retirement, old age and health, state finances, and security — almost every aspect of life. It will break the system,” wrote Gudrun Kugler of Austria.

Global Population Bust

No one questions the fact that nearly every corner of the globe is producing fewer babies. Global fertility has plunged from five children per woman in 1950 to around 2.25 children per woman in 2023, according to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)’s “World Population Prospects” report. “Globally, the total fertility rate is likely already below replacement — that is, below the level needed to sustain the population in the long run, approximately 2.18 children per woman. In the U.S., it’s around 1.6,” wrote Fernández-Villaverde.

The birthrate in every society on nearly every continent is below replacement level, except sub-Saharan Africa and Central Asia, noted Kugler — who is vice president of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe Parliamentary Assembly (OSCE PA).

Of OSCE region’s 56 member nations, only the primarily Muslim nations of Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Turkmenistan currently have replacement-level birthrates. Roman Catholic Malta had the lowest birthrate at 1.08. “Even in India birth rates have fallen below replacement levels: Only five out of thirty-six states are now above replacement level,” noted the OSCE report. After decades of a brutally enforced one-child policy, “China could lose as many as 600 million inhabitants by the end of the century,” added Fernández-Villaverde.

“This trend is evident in both wealthy and poor nations, in religious and secular states, in countries with right-wing governments, as well as those with left-wing governments, and in nations with free abortion access and those with restrictive abortion laws,” wrote Fernández-Villaverde.

More:
https://www.lifenews.com/2025/02/26/having-fewer-babies-will-cost-u-s-economy-quadrillions-of-dollars/

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Awwwwwwwwww. The biggest parasites of all are losing their hosts. The youth of China really have it down in their revolution. Lay down flat and let it rot. Do as little as possible, since what's the point? It's one awesome way of fighting the system that no one can do anything about.

Gubment suffers from less tax payers and cannon fodder, but it will save non-breeders hundreds of thousands, not to mention they'll have more discretionary time, and be a bit freer since obligation really does equal slavery. If you HAVE to do something, you are not free.

This is a great way to kick the oligarchs in the face, so to speak. So is the way of the Chinese youth. On the other hand Eastern and Western thinking are like night and day. Both have their good points and bad points. Occasionally hive mind thinking is actually good.

Morgan