(This is from a respected blogger from God Like Productions who has given accurate information several times earlier.GE)
Source:
https://www.godlikeproductions.com/forum1/message4239933/pg6690
Critical Analysis 3.19.2020
Last Call
Bars in your state may already be closed by order of the governor, but today is truly last call- last call to bunker down.
You might not know anyone currently sick or in the hospital or dying, but keep in mind that this is the slow, insidious nature of this virus.
It is much like looking up at the night sky at a star, but that star has already died out a million years ago, but you don't know it yet because it takes lightyears of travel before the light reaches your eyes.
In that same fashion, people who are infected right now won't start showing symptoms or becoming severe for another 8 days at least.
If things continue at the current rate, in the next 4 weeks, every single person reading this thread will have at least 1 person in their family circle who is dead or in critical condition from this virus. It might be an old schoolmate, a friend, a family member. 80% of those cases will become infected within the next 10 days.
We are entering the critical period where being out and about for any reason at all is a brush with the grim reaper.
Slow March to Lockdown
The United States is taking an incremental approach as Italy and other European countries did in order to condition the public to the idea of national lockdown in order to reduce the shock and likelyhood of civil unrest.
If you notice, first the schools were closed. Then the bars. Then restaurants were limited to take out orders only. Then social gatherings of 250 or more were banned. Then it was 100. Then it was 50. Then it was 10. Do you see the trend?
The frog is in the pot and the water is getting warmer bit by bit.
Things will continue in this fashion until measures like Italy, France, Germany, Spain and England are taken here as well.
Festering Congress
Because Congress has not taken the steps that are supposed to be taken for a pandemic scenario, there are now members of Congress who have been infected (from both political parties in case you were wondering). If COG is not implemented soon, in 3 weeks time, half of Congress will be infected and dozens of them will be fighting for their life in a hospital bed.
Smoke and Mirrors
Despite claims that millions of test kits are available, hospitals in states nationwide have very few test kits and are running low on reagent chemicals to make them work.
In fact, a bulk of the promised test kits are being sourced from other countries and flown in quietly.
This hasn't prevented A list celebrities and entire teams of professional athletes from obtaining tests even when they have no symptoms at all.
Meanwhile, the average person who is seriously ill struggles to get tested.
And oh by the way- that decision to cancel sports games? Inside communications show that it wasn't because commissioners were worried about the health of fans in the stands or the possibility of worsening the spread in large gatherings. They made the decision because they didn't want their star athletes to get infected, who they treat like prized racehorses.
The treatment with HIV drugs that was thought to work so well, well it's being discovered that it doesn't work very well at all.
They are saying that Malaria drugs are showing promise, but it's the same line that was fed along with the HIV drugs. Even if it does show promise, how much quantity can really be produced. Is there enough for billions of doses? I doubt it very much.
Also, notice that the virus tracking map from JHU has this morning changed the scale that it uses in order to either make the map less cluttered or perhaps not look as ominous. The dot that now represents hundreds of cases is now the same tiny dot that was used yesterday to mark a dozen cases. Have fun clicking around the map. Just make sure you're sitting down when you do. I'll save you some time: 5 states in the NE region of the US alone have a combined total of 4,017 cases but it's probably jumped higher in the time it took me to write this post.
The last solid figure (albeit 10 years old) of ventilators in the United States was on the order of around 62,000. It was said in an official press conference yesterday that there were 10,000 additional in the national reserve and the DoD could provide another 2,000. That represents a 19% increase in what is currently available.
By the peak of the virus, almost 12 million people will need ventilators. Almost there but we seem to be about 11,698,000 short.
Rough Ride Ahead
By April 3rd- just 15 days from now, the hospital system in Washington state and the New York area will be in complete collapse. California will follow soon after by April 13th. The rest of the country will be a little over a week behind that.
The numbers show the following by the first week of April:
California: 25,000 known cases 450 deaths
Washington: 36,000 known cases 2,050 deaths
NE region (MA, CT, NY, NJ, PA):
128,000 known cases 760 deaths
US total: 316,000 cases 5,150 deaths.
That is a very conservative, straightforward estimate. It could very likely be higher or come sooner. That is pretty much the minimum of what you can expect over the next 2 weeks.
And that's just the virus. Economic doom is certain and social unrest, well all bets are off.
The numbers above are just for the next 2 weeks- the virus will continue it's march well beyond that I'm afraid to say.
Buckle up.
- Jackal
Quoting: millenniumjackal
