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Big warning signs for Gavin Newsom in latest California recall poll

Posted By: HotCoffee
Date: Saturday, 24-Jul-2021 22:27:40
www.rumormill.news/177795

Encourage every Ca. voter you know to vote for Larry Elder... HC

We finally have a new poll of the Gavin Newsom recall election in California, and it shows a tightening race with some big warning signs for the governor.

The last high quality polls that were released in May showed opposition to the recall beating support for the recall by double digits, but a new poll released by Emerson College and Nexstar Media's Inside California Politics on Thursday shows a closer race.

Support for the recall among survey respondents was at 43%, while opposition was at 48%, with 9% of voters undecided. Emerson's previous poll of the recall in March had support for the recall at 38% and opposition at 42%.

The biggest red flag for Newsom was the poll's question, "Regardless of the recall effort, would you vote to re-elect Gov. Newsom in 2022 or do you think it is time for someone new?" in which a whopping 58% of voters wanted someone new, while only 42% were happy with Newsom — suggesting the governor could be in serious danger in 2022 if his opponent is a Democrat, independent with enough name recognition or a Republican not closely tied to former President Donald Trump and the National Republican Party. Newsom has blanketed the airwaves with ads comparing the recall to the Jan. 6 Capitol riots.

Other warning signs for Newsom — who had a 49% approval rating and a 42% disapproval rating in the poll — include lackluster marks on his handling of wildfires and the drought, which could be more salient issues just ahead of the recall election Sept. 14. Newsom previously overstated the amount of wildfire prevention efforts the state has undertaken and has not ruled out mandatory water use restrictions.

The poll found that more than 53% of voters are undecided on the recall ballot's second question of who should replace Newsom. That is also a warning sign for Newsom, as it once again highlights that most voters — with the exception of pro-recall ones — are not paying much attention to the race, which is something previous polls picked up on. If turnout is highest among those who want to recall Newsom, that's obviously a problem for the governor.

More from the left leaning SF Gate

https://www.sfgate.com/gavin-newsom-recall/amp/poll-California-recall-Gavin-Newsom-Elder-approval-16332347.php



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AN EXPLANATION OF THE FACTIONS