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Rumor Mill News Reading Room, Current Archive

Disaster For Donald Trump In Iowa And The Probability Of A Brokered Convention Just Went Way Up

Posted By: NaturalWisdom
Date: Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 15:12:08
www.rumormill.news/39079

In Response To: Reader WJ: Ted Cruz's Closest Counselors Are Neocons (RumorMail)

Do you suppose this development is all by design?

Disaster For Donald Trump In Iowa And The Probability Of A Brokered Convention Just Went Way Up
Michael Snyder | End of the American Dream
Feb 1, 2016
http://bit.ly/20EWucO

[snip]

This isn’t how it was supposed to go for Donald Trump. Iowa was supposed to be the first in a series of convincing wins that would cement his status as the inevitable nominee of the Republican Party. But instead, Iowa dealt a very serious blow to Trump’s candidacy, and it threw the race for the Republican nomination wide open. Of course Trump is far from dead, but now New Hampshire becomes a must win for him.

If Trump does not win in New Hampshire where he is heavily favored, he will be 0-2 and it will send the political sharks in the Republican Party into a feeding frenzy. As I will explain below, Trump needs to win at least 60 percent of the delegates before the convention to secure the nomination, and as I write this tonight it appears to be extremely doubtful that he will be able to do that. If he can only pull in 24 percent of the vote in Iowa, then he definitely does not have the overwhelming momentum that many people believed that he had.

A lot of people out there don’t understand how this process works. Donald Trump could win more states than anyone else during this entire process and still not win the nomination. Let me see if I can explain…

In order to win the nomination, one of the Republican candidates must secure at least 1,237 of the 2,472 delegates that are up for grabs overall.

But not all of those 2,472 delegates will be awarded during the caucuses and primaries. Out of the total of 2,472 delegates, 437 of them are considered to be “unpledged delegates”. These unpledged delegates are individuals of importance within the Republican Party, and the vast majority of them are members of the establishment.

Needless to say, the establishment is not very fond of Donald Trump. Donald Trump could still win the Republican nomination without any of those unpledged delegates, but in order to do so he would need to win 60.78 percent of the delegates that are up for grabs during the caucuses and primaries.

Of course he got off to a rough start tonight by only winning 24 percent of the vote in Iowa. If he continues to perform like this, he doesn’t have a prayer of becoming the Republican nominee.

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Articles In This Thread

CRUZ=DIRTY
food4thought -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 11:29:19
Did Hillary Steal the Iowa Caucus?
NaturalWisdom -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 13:18:13
IMHO, HILLARY DID BADLY AND THE BEST THING THEY COULD STEAL WAS A TIE
food4thought -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 13:33:01
How Hillary Clinton Stole Iowa: Voter Fraud Caught On Live TV [VIDEO]
NaturalWisdom -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 14:31:30
Hillary "Flips" Off Bernie; Won Six Straight Coin Tosses In Bizarre Caucus Tiebreaker
NaturalWisdom -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 14:51:53
Iowa Democratic Party Says Results From 90 Precincts Have Gone Missing. UPDATE: Sanders Campaign Says As Much As 5% Of Iowa Vote Is Missing
NaturalWisdom -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 15:02:17
Hillary: No ‘Sensible American’ Wants to Turn the White House Over to a Republican
NaturalWisdom -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 17:27:12
Reader WJ: Ted Cruz's Closest Counselors Are Neocons
RumorMail -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 14:58:25
Disaster For Donald Trump In Iowa And The Probability Of A Brokered Convention Just Went Way Up
NaturalWisdom -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 15:12:08
Cruz apologizes for spreading rumor about Carson dropping out
NaturalWisdom -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 15:45:12
SO WHAT'S *THAT* WORTH? *NM*
food4thought -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 16:30:35
Cruz Wife was a CFR member!!!
RumorMail -- Tuesday, 2-Feb-2016 15:56:13
Reader: She's also in Management at Goldman-Sachs!
RumorMail -- Wednesday, 3-Feb-2016 01:39:23

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AN EXPLANATION OF THE FACTIONS