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Economic Predictions For 2016: Why Joe Sixpack Should Care, Even If He Has No Stocks...

Posted By: Watchman
Date: Wednesday, 13-Jan-2016 19:10:33
www.rumormill.news/37314

In Response To: 75% CRASH In STOCKS COMING….MEAGA MELTDOWN For Dow, Crude, Baltic Dry, China, Nasdaq...Lots Of Links (Watchman)

WHAT A STOCK MARKET CRASH WILL MEAN TO THE AVERAGE AMERICAN

Many still think that if they are not investors or they do not play the market, a crash won't affect them.... they are wrong. Just remember 2008, when millions of Americans lost their jobs when businesses that employed them either closed or were forced to lay off employees (we see this already happening as company after company announces closures and layoffs already), those living paycheck to paycheck could no longer afford their rent, utilities, food, etc.....

Recent surveys show that approximately 62 percent of Americans have less than $1,000 in their savings accounts and 21 percent don’t even have a savings account. This quote from Market Watch should make it crystal clear what happens to the average American during a collapse.

"Faced with an emergency, they say they would raise the money by reducing spending elsewhere (26%), borrowing from family and/or friends (16%) or using credit cards (12%). And among those who had savings prior to 2008, 57% said they’d used some or all of their savings in the Great Recession, according to a U.S. Federal Reserve survey of over 4,000 adults released last year."

The portion in bold should truly capture attention though because it shows why this next crash will be far more devastating than 2008 was...... 57 percent of people that had enough savings to survive the crash in 2008, no longer have that to fall back on!

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Wednesday, January 13, 2016
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January 13, 2016

Industry Insiders Predict 'Cataclysmic Year' - Time To Kick Your Prepping Into High Gear
crashwordscollage.jpg

By Susan Duclos - All News PipeLine

Despite Barack Obama claiming that American has "recovered from the worst economic crisis in generations" during his last State Of The Union address on Tuesday, we see dire warnings from multiple experts throughout the financial industry telling us the exact opposite as the "recovery" illusion drops away and the true state of the union is revealed.

Below we will cover the latest warnings by experts in their fields of what is coming before explaining what this will mean to the average American.

LATEST WARNINGS AND PREDICTIONS

We see a trillion dollars has been wiped out of the stock market in just the first two weeks of the new year. CNN Money puts that number into context - "it's like wiping out the combined value of the following tech giants: Google (GOOGL, Tech30) ($508 billion), Facebook (FB, Tech30) ($281 billion), Intel (INTC, Tech30) ($154 billion), Netflix (NFLX, Tech30) ($50 billion) and Yahoo (YHOO, Tech30) ($29 billion)."

Portfolio managers are advising investors to "stash cash," because "global growth is decelerating at a rapid pace as well as commodities markets across the board are also hitting lower lows.

Because of the increased volatility, portfolio manager Chad Morganlander said his firm, Washington Crossing Advisors of Stifel Nicolaus, has been increasing cash exposure over the last three months.

Blackstone investor Byron Wien is predicting that investors will resort to cash amid global market turmoil while Erin Gibbs of S&P Investment Advisory highlights the cause of this move to cash, showing it is indicative of a decreasing appetite for risk among investors.

Economists at the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) sent a memo to its clients, dated January 8, 2016, which states in part, "Sell everything except high quality bonds. This is about return of capital, not return on capital. In a crowded hall, exit doors are small," as we see stock markets could fall by up to 20 percent with oil predicted to plunge to anywhere between $10 (Telegraph) to $16 (MSN) a barrel with investors warning that 2016 could be a "cataclysmic year."

It said the current situation was reminiscent of 2008, when the collapse of the Lehman Brothers investment bank led to the global financial crisis. This time China could be the crisis point.

The RBS predictions and forecasts are not the only ones referred to in the MSN article as they highlight the following quote by a JP Morgan analyst in regards to the plunge in oil, "We think prices could fall as low as $10 a barrel before most of the money managers in the market conceded that matters had gone too far."

http://allnewspipeline.com/Industry_Insiders_It_Is_Time_Stash_Cash.php

: ALBERT EDWARDS: 75% CRASH In STOCKS COMING….MEAGA MELTDOWN

: If I am right and we have just seen a cyclical bull market
: within a secular bear market, then the next recession will
: spell real trouble for investors ill-prepared for equity
: valuations to fall to new lows. To bottom on a Shiller PE
: of 7x would see the S&P falling to around 550. I will
: repeat that: If I am right, the S&P would fall to 550, a
: 75% decline from the recent 2100 peak.

: Oil could crash to $10 a barrel, warn investment bank bears

: Oil prices have crashed to below $30-a-barrel amid warnings
: the rout could reach as low as $10 and bring down petrol
: prices to levels last seen in 2009.

: The warnings came as Opec – the cartel that controls a third
: of the world’s supply – said it would not cede to requests
: from some of its members to hold an emergency meeting.

: With the next regular meeting scheduled for June, Nigeria’s
: oil minister said at least two members had called for an
: extraordinary gathering to address the price rout. But
: hopes were quickly dashed after the United Arab Emirates
: dismissed the prospect.

: Energy minister Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazroui said Opec’s
: decision to maintain production and crowd out rivals was
: still bearing dividend, hinting that it would take another
: 18 months for prices to start picking up.

:
: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/oilprices/12094394/Oil-price-could-fall-to-10-a-barrel-warn-investment-bank-bears.html

: inShare

: Update 1-13: BALTIC DRY –8 TO 394 RECORD LOW

: Update 1-12: BALTIC DRY -13 TO 402 RECORD LOW

: Update 1-11: BALTIC DRY -14 TO 415 RECORD LOW

: Update 1-08: BALTIC DRY -16 TO 429 RECORD LOW

: Update 1-07: BALTIC DRY -22 TO 445 RECORD LOW

: Update 1-06: BALTIC DRY -1 TO 467 RECORD LOW

: Update 1-05: BALTIC DRY -5 TO 468 RECORD LOW

: Update 12-16: BALTIC DRY -13 TO 471 RECORD LOW

: Update 12-15: BALTIC DRY -24 TO 484 RECORD LOW

: * Baltic Dry has been tanking
: Record low

: http://www.dryships.com/pages/report.php

: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND

: * Crude is plummeting.
: Currently WTI hovering at $32-33 (lower than August chaos)

: http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/crude.php

: And with crude, commodity prices in general are falling
: The CRB index is currently back hitting 167 and lowest in over
: a decade (was 185 during summer chaos)

: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CRY:IND

: Junk Bonds are at lows not seen since 2009.

: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=HYG%20Interactive
: #{“range”:”10y”,”allowChartStacking”:true}

: I’m sure there are other indicators and it is still too early
: to say, but perhaps the Titanic, after a temporary
: reprieve, will start sinking fast.

: “Nothing Is Moving,” Baltic Dry Crashes As Insiders Warn
: “Commerce Has Come To A Halt”

: The continued collapse of The Baltic Dry Index remains ignored
: by most – besides we still have Netflix, right? But, as
: Dollar Vigilante’s Jeff Berwick details, it appears the
: worldwide ‘real’ economy has ground to a halt!!

: Last week, I received news from a contact who is friends with
: one of the biggest billionaire shipping families in the
: world. He told me they had no ships at sea right now,
: because operating them meant running at a loss.

: This weekend, reports are circulating saying much the same
: thing: The North Atlantic has little or no cargo ships
: traveling in its waters. Instead, they are anchored.
: Unmoving. Empty.

:
: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-11/nothing-moving-baltic-dry-crashes-insiders-warn-commerce-has-come-halt



RMN is an RA production.

Articles In This Thread

The Chinese Market Crash
BATR -- Wednesday, 13-Jan-2016 15:27:14
Dow closes down triple digits; S&P in correction falling below the 1900 level
NaturalWisdom -- Wednesday, 13-Jan-2016 16:18:56
75% CRASH In STOCKS COMING….MEAGA MELTDOWN For Dow, Crude, Baltic Dry, China, Nasdaq...Lots Of Links
Watchman -- Wednesday, 13-Jan-2016 18:46:26
Economic Predictions For 2016: Why Joe Sixpack Should Care, Even If He Has No Stocks...
Watchman -- Wednesday, 13-Jan-2016 19:10:33
Nikkei stock average opens DOWN 700 POINTS (4%)
NaturalWisdom -- Wednesday, 13-Jan-2016 20:38:46

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AN EXPLANATION OF THE FACTIONS