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Stock Crash Whispers: Crash In October?
Posted By: tonzal Date: Wednesday, 13-Jan-2021 05:51:56
www.rumormill.news/108268
ZERO HEDGE / BATTLE FOR WORLD - September 27, 2018: The article highlights: It is that time of the year again. Every year, people start talking about a possible stock market crash in October, because everyone remembers the historic crashes that took place in October 1987 and October 2008. Could we witness a similar stock market crash in October 2018?
(BattleForWorld: By no means is this the pending "big crash". If happens, it is just another short panic for the stock market. The tricks they plan in advance.)
Without a doubt, the market is primed for another crash. Stock valuations have been in crazytown territory for a very long time, and financial chaos has already begun to erupt in emerging markets all over the globe. When the stock market does collapse, it won’t exactly be a surprise. And a lot of people out there are pointing to October for historical reasons. I did not know this, but it turns out that the month with the most market volatility since the Dow was first established has been the month of October…
The difference is quite significant, as judged by a measure of volatility known as the standard deviation: For all Octobers since 1896, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average was created, the standard deviation of the Dow’s daily changes has been 1.44%. That compares to 1.05% for all months other than October.
The reason why October’s number is so high is because of what happened in 1987 and 2008 and so October is still the most volatile…
The standard deviation of daily Dow changes is much higher in October than other months even if we eliminate 1987 and 2008 from the sample.
Once we get to Thanksgiving, the market tends to get sleepy, and it usually doesn’t wake up again until the new year begins.
So if something big is going to happen in the market in 2018, it is probably going to happen in the coming weeks.
And it is inevitable that something big will happen at some point. As Jesse Colombo has pointed out, stocks are more overvalued right now than they were just before the great stock market crash of 1929…
In a bubble, the stock market becomes overpriced relative to its underlying fundamentals such as earnings, revenues, assets, book value, etc. The current bubble cycle is no different: the U.S. stock market is as overvalued as it was at major generational peaks. According to the cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (a smoothed price-to-earnings ratio), the U.S. stock market is more overvalued than it was in 1929, right before the stock market crash and Great Depression
It is becoming increasingly obvious what we are heading for, and a growing chorus of market experts are issuing ominous declarations about this market.
Related article:
The Coming Economic Collapse
END
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Stock Crash Whispers: Crash In October?
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