PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGE BULLETINS
December 7, 2000 by MW Mandeville

ITEM(S): Alonso is probably right - the X Wave may be failing

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It would appear that the anomaly in polar motion on the X plot is
deepening.Two to three weeks in advance of the computer projections of just
two months ago, the location of the pole in the X wave now seems to have
bottomed out already and seems now to be climbing out of the negative
numbers toward the positive numbers (towards Greenwich, England). (England
is riding towards the North a little early).

If so, the X wave is thus completely abnormal at this point. It appears
that either a profound shift in the phase and amplitude of Chandler's
Wobble (as in 1936) is well underway toward creating a permanent change in
the X Wave, or, as Alsonso suggested, polar motion is becoming more
unstable with each passing month.

The nature of this instability appears at the moment to make the crust of
the earth drifting at an accelerated rate such that England is moving
closer to the pole and Northern Russia is moving also closer to the pole,
with a substantial lean-to down approximately W 90 (Lake Michigan going
South). It would appear as if the basic drift of motion during the past
100 years is proceeding in the same rough direction and at a substantially
accelerated rate during this moment of time, enough to noticeably alter the
tempo and shape of both the X and Y Wave.

These things are easy to detect visually be looking and comparing the wave
forms by eyeball and doing simple counting, as I have been doing all a
long. The shift may now be real enough that advanced mathematical analysis
by those competent to do the modeling should begin in earnest to study this
current shift in the wobble. Even if this has nothing to do with Cayce's
shift in the poles, this is HIGHLY LIKELY to be a major key to the global
warming phenomenon.

BUT, the computers may be wrong about projecting the current bottoming of
the X Wave. There are random fluctuations in the wobble which appear. It
may resume going deeper into negative numbers during the next two weeks.
So, we probably should wait about modeling anything until the Earth's
behavior at perihelion is measured. Then serious number crunching should
be contemplated.

Unfortunately,. as well, this makes irrelevant for the time being all of
the correlations I have been able to make out of seismic and volcanic
activity during the past 40 years. Thus the predictions I tendered last
month, based on the normal wobble, are off.

Based on current polar motion, it would seem that El Nino will not surface
next year, but even that cannot be claimed with confidence given the
current shift which is underway in the wobble.`

As the U.S. Presidential Elections seemed to demonstrate, this is not a
time for making predictions. This is a time of watching very carefully
what is really going on.

Best Wishes,
Michael Wells Mandeville, The Hills of Arizona USA
"Return of the Phoenix" at http://www.aa.net/~mwm/phoenix/phoenix.htm
To order the Return of the Phoenix, go to
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