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"Mr Schröder will either get an absolute majority, which means the president has to appoint him as chancellor, or he will get a relative majority," Prof Jürgen Falter, a political scientist at Mainz University told the Guardian. "In this scenario the president will probably dissolve parliament and hold fresh elections in January. Schröder is a super campaigner. He is calculating that he will then win." He added: "Unless Mrs Merkel can get a coalition in the Bundestag her days are numbered. At the moment she is like a wounded lead wolf protected by her pack. But the pack will only protect her until they find a new lead wolf."