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7STAGES OF A CRISIS-CENTRAL BANKS FACE SYSTEMIC FAILURE

Posted By: economica
Date: Tuesday, 17-Feb-2004 10:54:22

THE SITUATION GROWS MORE DEPRESSING BY THE DAY... IT NOW IS OBVIOUS THAT WE WONT MAKE IT, ISNT IT?

I CAN'T SEE HOW MANY TIMES THE SAME READERS ARE COMING BACK (WOULD NEED AN BETTER HIT COUNTER) BUT ALL OF A SUDDEN, MONEYFILES ADDED 46,120 HITS IN NOT EVEN 2 WEEK TIME... FOR THE LAST PAST 2 YEARS, MONEYFILES RECORDED A TOTAL OF 346,280 HITS!



The 7 stages of a dollar crisis
By Bill Fleckenstein
'Experts' simplistically tout a weak dollar as good news. No wonder many regular folks are unaware that its dramatic decline could spell real trouble.........
7 small steps to crisis
Here, then, is my outline of a 7-step process of creating a full-blown crisis.
Step 1. Nobody notices or pays attention that the dollar is falling.

Step 2. Folks wake up, but they either don't care or rationalize dollar weakness as a good thing.

Step 3. The central banks now know they have a problem, but the bankers think the market will obey them. It will, for a while. (This is the step we have now reached and what emerged at the G7 meeting.)

Step 4. The dollar now tests everyone's resolve by resuming its decline. The currency markets will not respond to jawboning by finance ministers.

Step 5. In this step, the finance ministers are forced to take action. (Think about it. Even if they'd stated that they wanted the dollar to go up, nothing either explicit or implied indicates they'll do anything about what's happening. That will come next.) When they do take action, the market will do what they want -- but only for a while.

Step 6. The ministers take some additional action, but it won't be enough, and the currency markets won't do what the ministers want.

Step 7. Finally, we'll have a full-blown crisis, and that will be the end game...........
http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/P72747.asp



Stephen Roach: Central Banking Discredited (scroll down)
2.17.2004
They are yesterday’s heroes. Central banks ruled the world during some 22 years of disinflation. But like most champions, they have overstayed their welcome. The world’s major central banks — the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the European Central Bank — have squandered the capital they built up in the long and arduous war against inflation. And now, with their policy arsenals dangerously depleted, they are woefully ill-equipped to cope with the ever-daunting complexities of a post-inflation era. Bondholders beware: Your once-proud defenders have met their match. In my view, modern-day central banking is on the brink of systemic failure.........
SAVED PERMANTENLY FOR THE RECORD!
http://www.moneyfiles.org/soundmoney.html
(ON THIS PAGE: TAKE A QUICK POLL -NO REGISTRATION NEEDED- AND SHOW MONEYFILES' READERS/WORLD YOUR OWN DIRE CONCERNS)


Currency Cure For China May Be Malignant For The West
February 16, 2004
...... If a Chinese revaluation is to have a noticeable global impact, the yuan would need to rise by substantially more than 5 per cent. But the problems that this would bring could dwarf the world economy’s present woes. To start with, even if a Chinese revaluation were sufficiently large to bolster export prospects for the US and Japan, and to ease the upward pressure on the euro, it would not solve the problems at the heart of these economies.

Higher American exports to China would not cure the consumer profligacy that lies at the heart of the US deficit. Nor would it solve the problem of deflation and fragile consumer confidence in Japan. And although a drop in the euro would provide a short-term boost to growth, it would not resolve the policy sclerosis that lies in the eurozone’s core.

A substantial revaluation could also be hugely damaging for the Chinese economy — especially if it were accompanied by the complete abandonment of exchange rate controls. A freely floating exchange rate may be the right long-term goal for China, but the country’s financial and legal infrastructure is not yet sufficiently mature to cope with the volatility of world markets. But even if China maintained a dollar peg, a sizeable revaluation would hurt export growth and could trigger deflation — with important knock-on consequences elsewhere.........
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8210-1003187,00.html



BECAUSE OF THE VERY LONG WEEKEND, FIND HERE BELOW ALL THE NEW HEADLINES ADDED TODAY
http://www.moneyfiles.org/

[02.17.2004]
The US Consumer Confidence Sinks [money.cnn.com]

[02.17.2004]
US Jobs Lost Abroad: Host of New Causes for an Old Problem (becaused of manipulated, debased currencies) [www.nytimes.com]

[02.17.2004]
Debt Overtaking Not Just U.S. Households, But National GDP [www.larouchepub.com]

[02.17.2004]
The Triple Bomb: Derivative Domino Destruction A Must-Read! [worldvisionportal.org]

[02.17.2004]
Colombia Cracks Down On Oil Theft [news.bbc.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
UK - Workplace Data Theft Runs Rampant [news.bbc.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
Why Corporations Are Failing Individuals and The Next Episode of Capitalism (book) [www.amazon.com]

[02.17.2004]
One Woman's Clash With A Corrupt Culture [wnd.com]

[02.17.2004]
SEC investigates Titan [www.usatoday.com]

[02.17.2004]
Report Details Cheney-Halliburton Connection [www.truthout.org]

[02.17.2004]
America's #1 Tax Cheat [www.newswithviews.com]

[02.17.2004]
Here Come 'De Flation? [www.weedenco.com]

[02.17.2004]
Spending Like a Drunken Democrat, Bush Drives The nation Towards Bankruptcy A Must-Read! [www.amconmag.com]

[02.17.2004]
Shop Till You Drop (how much is the U.S. consumer slowing down really) [money.cnn.com]

[02.17.2004]
Modeling Agency Elite files For Bankruptcy In US [news.bbc.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
More Myths About Clinton's Boom & Bust Economy A Must-Read! [www.brookesnews.com]

[02.17.2004]
UK: No-Proof Home Loans 'Invite Disaster' [www.guardian.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
UK Homeowners' Rush To Sell Points To Fear Of Crash [news.independent.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
Promises, Promises: Ignoring Dismal Real-Life Experience Of Millions Of American Families [www.nytimes.com]

[02.17.2004]
US Social Security And Debt By Guest Columnist Ed Henry [www.uncle-scam.com]

[02.17.2004]
Kuwait Orders Halliburton Probe [news.bbc.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
Canadians Quiz PM On Funds Scandal [news.bbc.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
S&P 500 To Hit An Area That's Sparked Heavy Selling In The Past [money.cnn.com]

[02.17.2004]
Where Did All US The Jobs Go? [www.vdare.com]

[02.17.2004]
Japanese Capital and Jobs Flowing to China [www.nytimes.com]

[02.17.2004]
US Rosy Scenarios? Proceed with Caution! [www.safemoneyreport.com]

[02.17.2004]
US Running on Empty [www.mises.org]

[02.17.2004]
The Health of Nations [www.nytimes.com]

[02.17.2004]
U.S. January Industrial Production Increases 0.8% [quote.bloomberg.com]

[02.17.2004]
US Credit Card Firms Scaling Back Mass Mailings [www.dallasnews.com]

[02.17.2004]
UK 4 Biggest Banks Accused Of Cashing In On Household Debt (predatory lending) A Must-Read! [money.guardian.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
G7 - What They Are Really Saying By Guest Columnist Alex Waellenwein [www.moneyfiles.org]

[02.17.2004]
Stephen Roach: Central Banking Discredited A Must-Read! [www.moneyfiles.org]

[02.17.2004]
The Gold Standard Demanded Discipline… [www.321gold.com]

[02.17.2004]
US Dollar Drinking In The Last Chance Saloon [news.independent.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
The 7 Stages Of A Dollar Crisis A Must-Read! [moneycentral.msn.com]

[02.17.2004]
Currency Cure For China May Be Malignant For The West [business.timesonline.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
Secret Report Warns of Iraq 'Balkanisation' [www.moneyfiles.org]

[02.17.2004]
Cheerleading the US Economy: Greenspan’s Obvious Exuberance [www.comstockfunds.com]

[02.17.2004]
An Impending 'Disorderly Movement' In The Dollar? [www.dailyreckoning.com]

[02.17.2004]
[GATA] The Future Of Gold In The Post Depression Economy [www.moneyfiles.org]

[02.17.2004]
Another day, Another Fall In The Dollar [www.guardian.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
Gold's Rise & Dollar's Fall Are Actually Accelerating (Gold Bounces Off Support) [goldmoney.com]

[02.17.2004]
Indian Banks Eye Consumer Loans (predatory lending) [news.bbc.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
Globalization Hoax: South Korean Farmers Warn Politicians Of Price To Pay [www.guardian.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
BOE Kept The Treasury 'In TheT dark' over developments at the BCCI [www.guardian.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
Globalization Hoax: 150 Years Off Our World Poverty Targets [news.independent.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
It's The Season For (UK) Bank Bashing: Spending Mirage [news.independent.co.uk]

[02.17.2004]
The cost of 'war' (prepare now for shocking tax, interest rate increases) [cbs.marketwatch.com]

[02.17.2004]
US Provoked Insurgency In Iraq Says Former UN official [www.gulfnews.com]

[02.17.2004]
China Bank To Cut 100,000 Jobs Over 3 Years [www.iht.com]

[02.17.2004]
Nuclear Crisis Thwarts SKorea's Credit Ratings Upgrade [www.channelnewsasia.com]


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Articles In This Thread

7STAGES OF A CRISIS-CENTRAL BANKS FACE SYSTEMIC FAILURE
economica -- Tuesday, 17-Feb-2004 10:54:22
UNCOVERING THE BIGGEST US SHELL GAME EVER IN HISTORY
economica -- Tuesday, 17-Feb-2004 11:35:23
MATH ERROR IN PREVIOUS POST
economica -- Tuesday, 17-Feb-2004 18:41:38


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AN EXPLANATION OF THE FACTIONS